equity-service · scan of 01 October 2026

Trading Book

Generated 2026-10-01 07:50 IST

TIS setups

The four TIS scans — daily and weekly, stocks and ETFs. Runs: SWING 2026-09-30 17:30 IST; WEEKLY 2026-09-30 17:32 IST; ETF 2026-09-29 17:37 IST; ETF_WEEKLY 2026-09-29 17:37 IST

SWING — 879 scanned, 301 with a stop derived, 11 at ≥6 of 7 gates, 0 actionable, actionable plus the ≥6-gate watch rows — blocked by G3 x9, G5 x5, G1 x2. sizing: Rs 39,808 risk budget / Rs 494,930 deploy cap, 12 slots (t-default)

WEEKLY — 879 scanned, 220 with a stop derived, 3 at ≥6 of 7 gates, 0 actionable, actionable plus the ≥6-gate watch rows — blocked by G4 x3, G5 x3. sizing: Rs 39,808 risk budget / Rs 494,930 deploy cap, 12 slots (t-default)

ETF — 23 scanned, 15 with a stop derived, 0 at ≥6 of 7 gates, 0 actionable, actionable plus the ≥6-gate watch rows. sizing: Rs 39,808 risk budget / Rs 494,930 deploy cap, 12 slots (t-default)

ETF: nothing actionable, and nothing within one gate of it (15 names with a stop derived, none at ≥6 of 7).

ETF_WEEKLY — 23 scanned, 17 with a stop derived, 0 at ≥6 of 7 gates, 0 actionable, actionable plus the ≥6-gate watch rows. sizing: Rs 39,808 risk budget / Rs 494,930 deploy cap, 12 slots (t-default)

ETF_WEEKLY: nothing actionable, and nothing within one gate of it (17 names with a stop derived, none at ≥6 of 7).

Rows are the scan's own record, not a recomputation. 'blocked by' lists every failing gate, not the first.

A *candidate* is any name the scanner could derive a pivot and a stop for, before a single gate is judged; the gates are then scored on every one of them so that a six-of-seven is visible the morning after. The shortlist a reader means by 'passed the gates' is the ≥6 count.

'to entry' is how far the buy trigger sits above the last price the scan saw — not an overnight gap. For the daily scanners the trigger is 0.2% over the last close, so a larger figure means the quote has since moved; negative means the market is already through it.

Other scanners

The two that are not TIS. Both are in the nightly scan, but only the four TIS scanners feed the agent: STRIKE is intraday and everything placed here is CNC, so these rows are read by hand. STRIKE is SWING with a 2R target; REVERSAL buys a washout and enters at the market, so its rows are judged on R1-R3 rather than on the eight gates. Runs: STRIKE 2026-09-30 17:34 IST; REVERSAL 2026-09-29 17:36 IST

STRIKE — 879 scanned, 301 with a stop derived, 11 at ≥6 of 7 gates, 0 actionable, actionable plus the ≥6-gate watch rows — blocked by G3 x9, G5 x5, G1 x2. sizing: Rs 39,808 risk budget / Rs 494,930 deploy cap, 12 slots (t-default)

REVERSAL — 589 scanned, 353 with a stop derived, 0 at ≥6 of 7 gates, 0 actionable, actionable plus the ≥6-gate watch rows. sizing: Rs 39,808 risk budget / Rs 494,930 deploy cap, 12 slots (t-default)

REVERSAL: nothing actionable, and nothing within one gate of it (353 names with a stop derived, none at ≥6 of 7).

A *candidate* is any name the scanner could derive a pivot and a stop for, before a single gate is judged; the gates are then scored on every one of them so that a six-of-seven is visible the morning after. The shortlist a reader means by 'passed the gates' is the ≥6 count.

What ran

The session before the last one, so each move has a day of follow-through beside it. `next` is that following session — a run given straight back is a different event from one that held.

92 names moved 3% or more; showing 15.

Themes: sectors with two or more of the 92 movers. This is what the list is read for — which group is working, so the next setup taken is in it. 'held' is how many kept the move the next session; a theme LAGGING on the RRG while leading the tape is a disagreement to resolve before sizing in it.

The 'why' column is the top headline a news search returned for that name, coloured by the same heuristic the News section explains. A blank means nothing was written, which for a name up 15% is itself worth noticing: a move with no story behind it is a move to distrust.

Group moves among the names shown — Electrical-Power/Equipmt x2. The themes table below groups *all* the movers, not just these.

3 of 15 closed 20% or more above their 20MA — continuation spikes, not base breakouts, which is why the scan finds no tight stop under them.

What is holding up

Every name's return since the index's last peak close on 2026-08-06, 38 session(s) ago, grouped by industry. Two benchmarks over the same window: NIFTYBEES -7.87% and SMALLCAP -0.81%. A sector above the line is outperforming even where it is still negative — in a drawdown that is what leadership looks like. The comparison that counts is against the smallcap peer: this universe is broad and measuring it against fifty large caps flatters almost all of it.

Holding up — best median first. 35 of 69 sectors are beating the smallcap peer.

Taking the damage — worst median first.

Median, not mean: one name up 80% on a takeover bid should not make its whole sector look like leadership. A sector needs at least 3 names in the universe to appear at all.

The anchor is the index's own highest close in the last 60 sessions, taken from price rather than from our recorded regime — so it does not move when MarketSmith relabels its status, and anyone can check it against a chart.

No reason is given, because the tape cannot give one. A group down 9% on crude and a group down 9% on one bad result look identical here; the News and Exchange filings sections below are where the difference lives.

News

Headlines for the market as a whole, newest first, from a Google News search. Company headlines sit on the setup cards and beside the names that ran.

Green and red are a **headline heuristic**: a few dozen words — 'bags order', 'wins contract' against 'probe', 'downgrade', 'profit falls'. It reads the headline and nothing else — not the article, not the exposure, not whether the move is already priced. It is there so the eye stops at the right row, and it is not a signal.

Open trades

The book, as this service records it — priced off the same series the charts are drawn from.

1 open, 0 with a stop that has moved. 'locked' is where the stop sits relative to entry in units of the original risk — positive means the trade can no longer lose.

How the market opened

No quote for 2026-10-01 — the newest quote is from 2026-09-30. Before the bell that is an outage in the pre-open mail; after it, the question has been answered by the tape instead.

MarketSmith

The emails the gate is read from, newest first.

MarketSmith's Buy Watchlist. Our universe holds tickers and the mail publishes company names, so a blank 'in our universe' is an unmatched name, not an absent one — match by eye against the scan.

Model portfolio moves

'parsed as' is the subject-line classifier, which recognises only status-change alerts — 'unrecognised' on a daily commentary is by design, not a failure. 'body says' is the Market Pulse read out of the mail itself; see `show_marketsmith` for the whole mail.

Newest mail (2026-09-30 16:43 IST): Downtrend.

IPOs — mainboard

A separate instrument and a separate decision. No gate here reads a chart.

GMP is an unregulated over-the-counter quote with no print behind it. Measured over 295 listings it correlates 0.87 with the realised listing gain and overstates it by about 2.6pp; a zero GMP has averaged -6.6% and was positive 29% of the time. The subscription columns are the exchange's own and are the half that can be verified.

SME is excluded. Run backtest_gmp to re-measure any of the above.

IPO review — apply, skip, avoid

Thursday 1 October, written at 08:00 before the bell. Two calls were overturned on the final day, both the same way, and that is the note worth reading. SRIT India finished with QIB at 91.84x, HNI at 312.99x and retail at 63.7x. On Tuesday it sat at 0.03x and this page called it “the Orient Cables pattern again” — an issue carried by retail with institutions absent. It was nothing of the kind. Shah Investor’s Home, carrying an AVOID, closed at QIB 28.05x and HNI 95.54x from 1.1x the day before. That is the second and third time this week the same mistake was made. Moneyview went 0.25x to 58.68x on its own last day; the lesson was written down and then applied as a warning to SRIT anyway. Institutions bid on the final day. A low QIB book with a day left is not information, and this page should stop treating it as any. Moneyview and A-One Steels list today. Moneyview at a grey-market premium of ₹13, 38.2%, about 36% after the overstatement — the plan from the day it was applied for is unchanged: sell at the open. The case was the discount, not the franchise. Expected listing is the GMP percentage less 2.6 points, the overstatement backtest_gmp measured over 295 listings (r = 0.87). Applied: Moneyview HNI 24 Sep (lists today); Orient Cables retail 25 Sep (lists 5 Oct); SRIT India retail 28 Sep (lists 6 Oct). Held: nothing in equities. The Nifty closed September 6% lower at 22,620, a six-month-low close, on Day 2 of a rally attempt.

What the three reversals actually teach. Orient Cables, Moneyview, SRIT India and Shah Investor’s Home all showed a thin or absent QIB book on the penultimate day. Three of the four finished with institutional books between 28x and 92x. The exception is Orient, which finished at 0.06x — so the signal is not useless, it is simply far weaker than this page has been treating it, and it cannot be read before the final day closes. The rule going forward: quote the QIB book, do not forecast from it. Orient Cables is still the one to watch, and for the opposite reason to the one stated on Monday. It is the only issue this week whose institutional book never arrived, it lists 5 October at a 31% premium, and an issue carried to 8.32x by HNI at 17.37x with QIB at 0.06x has to find real holders in the first week of trading. The plan is unchanged and now rests on evidence rather than on a pattern that turned out not to be one.

Exchange filings

What the companies told the exchange, for names we follow.

Most filings are housekeeping — meetings, trading windows, newspaper copies. Only the categories that can move a price are flagged. The exchange's own category is kept verbatim rather than mapped onto our vocabulary, so a new one shows up unfamiliar instead of silently becoming 'other'.

This is the source a news search is not: a filing is dated, typed, keyed on the NSE symbol, and legally required. Searching news for RRKABEL the same day returned a festival marketing story twice and a two-month-old AGM notice.

Broker coverage

Context only. Nothing reads this as a gate.

A broker target is published after the move, by a firm with a relationship, and revised toward the price rather than ahead of it. A Hold with a target below the market is the useful case.