Thursday 1 October, written at 08:00 before the bell. Two calls were overturned on the final day, both the same way, and that is the note worth reading. SRIT India finished with QIB at 91.84x, HNI at 312.99x and retail at 63.7x. On Tuesday it sat at 0.03x and this page called it “the Orient Cables pattern again” — an issue carried by retail with institutions absent. It was nothing of the kind. Shah Investor’s Home, carrying an AVOID, closed at QIB 28.05x and HNI 95.54x from 1.1x the day before. That is the second and third time this week the same mistake was made. Moneyview went 0.25x to 58.68x on its own last day; the lesson was written down and then applied as a warning to SRIT anyway. Institutions bid on the final day. A low QIB book with a day left is not information, and this page should stop treating it as any. Moneyview and A-One Steels list today. Moneyview at a grey-market premium of ₹13, 38.2%, about 36% after the overstatement — the plan from the day it was applied for is unchanged: sell at the open. The case was the discount, not the franchise. Expected listing is the GMP percentage less 2.6 points, the overstatement backtest_gmp measured over 295 listings (r = 0.87). Applied: Moneyview HNI 24 Sep (lists today); Orient Cables retail 25 Sep (lists 5 Oct); SRIT India retail 28 Sep (lists 6 Oct). Held: nothing in equities. The Nifty closed September 6% lower at 22,620, a six-month-low close, on Day 2 of a rally attempt.
Moneyview
APPLIED — LISTS TODAY, sell at the openlists 1 Oct · closed 44.17x · band ₹32–34 · ₹1,092 Cr · ₹750 Cr fresh / ₹342 Cr OFS
best GMP on the boardHNI 15.4xPAT flat on +43% revenueD/E 2.27x
- P/E post
- 8.61x
- RoE
- 15.98%
- D/E
- 2.27x
- FY26 revenue
- ₹3,404 Cr
- FY26 PAT
- ₹243 Cr
- retail min
- ₹14,994
- sHNI min
- ₹2.10L
- bHNI min
- ₹10.05L
The cheapest thing on the board at 8.6x, and the reason is visible in the accounts: revenue grew 43% to ₹3,404 Cr while profit went from ₹240 Cr to ₹243 Cr. That is a lender buying growth with margin, funded at 2.27x debt to equity. It is priced for that. Fifteen times on the HNI book with a 41% GMP is the market agreeing the discount is too wide for a listing pop, and nothing more — hold this past the open and you own the margin question.
SRIT India
APPLIED retail — the QIB warning was wronglists 6 Oct · closed with QIB 91.84x · band ₹123–130 · ₹218 Cr · 100% fresh, no OFS
no OFS — every rupee goes inRoE 30.2%QIB 0.03x → 91.84x on the last daythis page called it a retail-only book — wrong
- P/E post
- 20.97x
- RoE
- 30.23%
- RoCE
- 28.79%
- revenue CAGR
- 28.8% FY24→26
- PAT CAGR
- 22.0%
- FY26 revenue
- ₹450 Cr
- FY26 PAT
- ₹43.3 Cr
- lot
- 115 sh
The only issue here with no offer for sale: the whole ₹218 Cr goes into the company rather than to selling holders, which is the one structural signal in an IPO that cannot be dressed. Thirty percent return on equity at twenty-one times, growing revenue at a 29% CAGR and profit at 22% — profit growing slower than revenue is worth watching, but from these returns it is a quibble. Marquee anchors are allotted. Of everything opening this week this is the one worth the application.
Orient Cables
APPLIED — the only book that never arrivedlists 5 Oct · closed 8.32x · band ₹258–272 · ₹552 Cr · ₹320 Cr fresh / ₹232 Cr OFS
RoE 25.8%GMP ₹80QIB 0.01x with one day left23.6x post-issue
- P/E post
- 23.61x
- RoE
- 25.84%
- RoCE
- 23.82%
- working capital
- ~48 days
- market cap
- ₹3,095 Cr
- lot
- 55 sh
- listing
- 5 Oct
Good business at a fair-to-full price — 26% return on equity, a 48-day working-capital cycle, in cables where the demand story is real. The number to watch on Monday and Tuesday is QIB at 0.01x. Institutions bid on the last day so it is not yet a verdict, but if it finishes under 1x on a ₹552 Cr issue the retail and HNI books carried it alone, and that is a listing to sell into rather than hold.
German Green Steel
WATCH — no book to read25–29 Sep (closes Tuesday) · band ₹132–139 · ₹304 Cr · ₹290 Cr fresh / ₹14 Cr OFS
GMP 20%no subscription visiblesteel, cyclical
- issue
- ₹304 Cr
- fresh
- 95%
- band
- ₹132–139
- listing
- 5 Oct
A 20% grey-market premium and no exchange book this page can verify — ipowatch and the NSE name the company differently and the parser will not guess. That is the whole call: the half of the evidence that can be checked is missing, and GMP alone has never been enough here. Read the book directly on Monday before deciding.
A-One Steels
SKIPPED — lists todaylists 1 Oct · closed 7.14x · band ₹385–405 · ₹405 Cr · ₹355 Cr fresh / ₹50 Cr OFS
24.6x for a steel makerRoE 14.7%QIB 0.09x on day 2
- P/E post
- 24.55x
- P/E pre
- 21.76x
- RoE
- 14.70%
- RoCE
- 12.86%
- RoNW
- 15.43%
- lot
- 37 sh
- retail min
- ₹14,985
Twenty-four and a half times earnings for a backward-integrated long-products steel maker returning 14.7% on equity and 12.9% on capital. Steel is a cyclical that the market pays single digits for through a cycle; this is priced as though the cycle does not exist. A 12.6% premium is thin compensation for that, the book is barely covered at 1.35x with a day to run, and 0.09x QIB on day two of three is not the shape of an issue institutions want.
25–29 Sep (closes Tuesday) · band ₹290–305 · ₹500 Cr · 100% fresh
retail 0.18xunder-subscribed overallrealty at a 10% premium
- issue
- ₹500 Cr
- fresh
- 100%
- band
- ₹290–305
- lot
- —
Retail has taken 18% of its quota and the issue as a whole is at 0.42x. A ₹500 Cr realty issue that the retail book is ignoring, with a 9.8% grey-market premium that leaves about seven points after the measured overstatement. QIB at 0.96x is the only part holding up. There is no version of this worth an application at ₹305.
25–29 Sep (closes Tuesday) · band ₹30–32 · ₹420 Cr · ₹287 Cr fresh / ₹133 Cr OFS
QIB literally zero0.23x overallSnapdeal's parent
- issue
- ₹420 Cr
- OFS share
- 32%
- band
- ₹30–32
- GMP
- ₹2
Snapdeal's parent, at 0.23x with two days gone and not one rupee of QIB. A ₹2 premium on a ₹32 issue is four points after the overstatement, which is inside the noise of a listing day. Every part of the book that can be read says the market does not want it at this price.
Shah Investor’s Home
AVOIDED — and the book says the market disagreedlists 6 Oct · closed with QIB 28.05x · band ₹159–167 · ₹90 Cr · 100% fresh
QIB 0.5x → 28.05x on the last dayPAT −44%RoE 14.7% → 7.6%avoided on fundamentals, not on the book
- P/E post
- 26.94x
- P/E pre
- 20.07x
- RoE
- 7.59%
- RoCE
- 10.61%
- FY26 income
- ₹72.4 Cr, −23%
- FY26 PAT
- ₹13.1 Cr, −44%
- op. cash flow
- −₹19.7 Cr
- lot
- 85 sh
Revenue down 23%, profit down 44%, return on equity halved from 14.7% to 7.6%, return on capital from 20.4% to 10.6%, and operating cash flow negative ₹19.7 Cr — and the ask is 26.9 times post-issue earnings, a higher multiple than the business earned when it was twice as profitable. A broker listing into a market that entered a Downtrend on Thursday, at the top of its own valuation range, on shrinking numbers. The 7.2% premium is the market's politeness.
Vishal Nirmiti
AVOID — open, and the book is not there30 Sep–5 Oct (open) · band ₹220 · — · —
0.05x on day twoGMP 2.7%
- band
- ₹220
- opens
- 30 Sep
No grey-market premium at all. Measured over 295 listings a zero GMP has averaged −6.6% and listed positive 29% of the time, which is a coin flip weighted against you for the privilege of locked funds.
Nityas Gems
WATCH — open, no book matched yet30 Sep–5 Oct (open) · band ₹75 · — · —
zero GMP
- band
- ₹75
- opens
- 30 Sep
Same as above, and gems and jewellery on top of it.